It was far from the year many projected for Atlanta Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan. The second year pro finished the 2009 season with 2916 passing yards, 22 TDs and 14 INTs (16 total turnovers). On top of that, Ryan missed two full games to injury and left another one early in the first quarter. His 172 fantasy points in standard leagues ranked 19th amongst quarterbacks but his inconsistent play was hard to overlook. Ryan had a stretch of five games in the middle of the season in which he combined for just 44 fantasy points.
With another year of maturity and growth under his belt Ryan should improve on his statistics in 2010. He did throw six more TD passes from his rookie season and with Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez he has the weapons to impress in 2010. A healthy Michael Turner at running back and better decision making in the pocket are two important factors in the growth of Matt Ryan.
Please project Ryan’s 2010 statistics based on the following categories….
Games Played: Passing Yards: Passing Touchdowns: Interceptions:
Rushing Yards: Rushing Touchdowns:
Finally, what round (and why) would you target Ryan in a 12-team standard scoring league?
NOTE: Please copy/paste the statistics you are projecting into your return message. This will help everyone follow a template and make things easier to come up with the FINAL PROJECTION for each player based on what the Bruno Boys Nation thinks.
I will go ahead and take the first stab at Matt Ryan’s 2010 projections as of 1/30/2010….
Games Played: 16 GP Passing Yards: 3,680 Yards Passing Touchdowns: 24 TDs Interceptions: 13 INTs
Rushing Yards: 75 Yards Rushing Touchdowns: 1 TD
Finally, what round (and why) would you target Ryan in a 12-team standard scoring league?
Ryan didn’t exactly tear it up in his second NFL season and enters 2010 as a quarterback that should be used when the match-up is right. This could change If he can get off to a hot start and play well against some good competition but don’t rely on him as your only quarterback in 2010. Expect Ryan to show some growth in his third season but when drafting him make sure to combine his services with a comparable quarterback (Eli Manning, Jay Cutler, Joe Flacco).
In my opinion, Ryan should be targeted in the late 9th to 10th round of 12-team leagues. An ideal situation could be snagging a guy like Cutler or Manning in the 7th or 8th round and following up a pick or two later with Ryan. At worst, his number should stay consistent with that of 2009 but he has the weapons and should see an increase in production. Finally, if Atlanta can address their issue at the second wide out position it could increase Ryan’s fantasy value as the season gets closer. Make sure to monitor the situation and if you own Ryan in a dynasty league hope they find someone to compliment Roddy White on the outside.
I think your numbers are pretty close to the mark…but I’d probably just as soon gamble on Ryan first over Cutler (I dont suffer fools easily) and if the Ravens dont upgrade their receiving core over Flacco as well
But I tend to draft only one QB and pick up a second along the way and none of those guys are going to be my number 1
I think your numbers are pretty close to the mark…but I’d probably just as soon gamble on Ryan first over Cutler (I dont suffer fools easily) and if the Ravens dont upgrade their receiving core over Flacco as well
But I tend to draft only one QB and pick up a second along the way and none of those guys are going to be my number 1
Black Tetra - All valid points you bring up about Cutler disappointing and Flacco having no one to throw the football too. Both should be considering risky 2010 draft options; however, I am confident Cutler will be significantly better in his second year in the Windy City. His receivers will continue to mature (they are likely to add someone in the offseason) and the Bears’ offensive line can only improve after a dismal 2009 season. At this stage of my rankings I’d take him a round or two ahead of Ryan because we know Chicago will rely on him more than Ryan. It’s clearly Cutler’s team and the Bears will come out throwing in 2010 while the Falcons will take a balanced approach as long as Michael Turner is healthy.
My quarterback draft philosophy tends to vary on the flow of the draft. I do everything off of tier rankings and usually stock up at RB/WR and then snag two guys from the same tier like Cutler, Eli Manning and Ryan to play match-ups with throughout the season. I’m a firm believer you can win a fantasy football league with using a QBBC approach throughout the season. With the rise in the position this does change some entering 2010 but outside of maybe Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning and Drew Brees I won’t be reaching for my QB.
Finally, I’d love to see your projections for Matt Ryan and Donovan McNabb (separate thread).
You are probably right about Cutler…but between owning him and Forte on one team this year the very thought of owning a Bear next year leaves me a little sour
As for a projection…just a WAG here…but I’ll look for a slight uptick from this year…say 3,700 yds/25 TDs/15int - 60ruyd/2rutds
You are probably right about Cutler…but between owning him and Forte on one team this year the very thought of owning a Bear next year leaves me a little sour
As for a projection…just a WAG here…but I’ll look for a slight uptick from this year…say 3,700 yds/25 TDs/15int - 60ruyd/2rutds
Black Tetra -Being that you owned both Jay Cutler and Matt Forte in 2009 I can understand frustration and lack of desire to take a chance on them in 2010. That combo did nothing but tease and fail to please about 80 percent of the time. In 2010, I’m more inclined to take my chances with Cutler over Forte and I feel that the addition of Mike Martz should help Cutler. At the very least, the Bears are going to throw the ball even more. If the Bears can use Forte right he should see an increase in opportunity but I wasn’t encouraged by whatMartz did with Frank Gore (1,409 total yards, 8 TDs in ‘08) when he was in San Francisco in 2008. Only time will tell…
I think your Matt Ryan projection for 2010 is a “safe” one. You’d imagine the Falcons will revolve around Michael Turner (if healthy) and slight, yet unspectacular, increase in production. His decision making at times scared me in 2009 but the more experience he gets under his belt the better he will be. As I stated above, if Atlanta can add another wide receiver I feel Ryan’s ceiling could be higher than we currently project entering 2010.
Glad to have you involved in the Projections and I look forward to chatting throughout the offseason.
Games Played:16
Passing Yards:3189
Passing Touchdowns:21
Interceptions:12
Rushing Yards:93
Rushing Touchdowns:0
Finally, what round (and why) would you target Ryan in a 12-team standard scoring league?
About round 5 or 6 since i would only want him as a backup/plug and play
Finally, what round (and why) would you target Ryan in a 12-team standard scoring league?
I agree with Bruno Boy Cavigs that the Ryan range should be with the likes of Eli Manning, Joe Flacco and Jay Cutler. With the addition of Mike Martz, I think Cutler’s value goes way up (and Forte’s in non-PPR leagues goes way down). I think Matt Ryan has shown potential, and his team that surrounds him should allow him to be a very capable low #1 QB. With that said, that is around round 8-10 for me, as I prefer to get my back-up RB/WR before taking my back-up QB who may only see a game or two if I drafted a stud in front of him.
Bruno Boys Jacob... All valid points about Matt Ryan and his worth in 2010. As you can see I’d target him in similar rounds and the only statistic I differ from you on is his interception total in 2010. Dating back to Week 17 (Wild Card Round too) of the 2008 season he has thrown 18 interceptions in 16 games and with Ryan expected to throw the ball even more in 2010 it’s going to be tough for him to keep his interception totals in single digits. Even with both of us projecting his decision making and growth to develop in his third season the fact that he will likely throw the football 32-35 times per game makes me believe his interception per pass rate will decrease but his overall interception totals will be in the 13-15 range.
I always enjoy talking stats and debating player projections and I look forward to seeing how Ryan plays out in 2010…
I dont know why i said rounds 5-6…should be more like what cavigs and jacob said
We believe you…typically a plug and play isn’t rounds 5-6
What is with this weird smiley face I just put in?
I don’t know Jacob but it looks to me like you are winking at Big Space…
I’m going to go searching for some Football emoticons to replace the current set of traditional smiley faces. One switched, I will post it in the Member Update section of the Forum.
