Welcome, Bruno Boys Nation to the Week 12 of the 2022 NFL Season! Along with the variety of fantasy football formats, we cover Player Prop bets. So in case you just want some quick action for the weekend, Ernie Estrella is tackling Player Prop betting during the season. He will break down the wiser bets for five players (2 in-depth, 3 quick) at quarterback, running back and wide receiver, based on how he sees the game script going.
Week 12 Wide Receivers and Tight Ends
Parris Campbell will receive OVER 3.5 receptions (-148 FanDuel) against the Steelers.
Start Time: Monday, November 28, Hard Rock Stadium 5:15pm ET
Broadcast: ESPN Sports / NFL+
The hiring of Jeff Saturday is the best thing that could have happened to Campbell and the Colts offense. He decided to put Matt Ryan back under center and go back to what the Colts do best, which is run an offense around Jonathan Taylor. Ryan turned to Campbell starting in Weeks 6-7 when he caught 17-of-23 passes from the veteran QB for 127 yards and two touchdowns.
When Sam Ehlinger stepped in for two games, Campbell caught only 4-of-7 passes for 58 scoreless yards. In the two games that Saturday has coached with Ryan back at QB, Campbell’s caught 12-of-18 passes for 143 yards and a touchdown. In those six games, Campbell was a top 12 fantasy WR three times with Ryan. The best he finished with Ehlinger, was WR44.
What does that mean for his Player Prop of 3.5 receptions? He should smash it, seeing as he has averaged 7.25 receptions in the last four games with Matt Ryan under center. The Steelers have a very loose secondary, with Arthur Maulet, Cam Sutton, and Levi Wallace in coverage and have been giving free passes to receivers all season long.