Welcome, Bruno Boys Nation to the Week 16 of the 2022 NFL Season! Along with the variety of fantasy football formats, we cover Player Prop bets. So in case you just want some quick action for the weekend, Ernie Estrella is tackling Player Prop betting during the season. He will break down the wiser bets for five players (2 in-depth, 3 quick) at quarterback, running back and wide receiver, based on how he sees the game script going.
Week 16 Running Backs
Najee Harris will rush OVER 60.5 yards (-110 FanDuel) and score a touchdown (+130 FanDuel) against the Raiders
Start Time: Sunday, December 24, Acrisure Stadium 8:15pm ET
Broadcast: NFL Network / NFL+
Harris faces a run defense that’s bottom five. Running backs are averaging 22.3 carries, 96.1 yards and 0.8 touchdowns. They are also getting 6.1 receptions for 49.8 receiving yards per game. That’s what Harris and Jaylen Warren are looking at. Since the Week 9 bye, the Steelers have leaned on Harris and his work horse mentality. He’s played in six games since that bye and is averaging 17.2 carries per game and 71.5 rushing yards per game. He’s corded five touchdowns over that stretch and it’s been a massive second half of the season to 2022. Harris has yet to reach 100 yards rushing but he doesn’t have to hit the century mark to hit his yardage prop, just 61 yards. Considering the matchup and his current work load, Harris should beat his rushing yardage prop by early fourth quarter.