Welcome, Bruno Boys Nation to the Week 3 of the 2022 NFL Season! Along with the variety of fantasy football formats, we cover Player Prop bets. So in case you just want some quick action for the weekend, Ernie Estrella is tackling Player Prop betting during the season. He will break down the wiser bets for five players (2 in-depth, 3 quick) at quarterback, running back and wide receiver, based on how he sees the game script going.

Week 3 Running Backs

David Montgomery will rush OVER 69.5 touchdowns (-110 FanDuel) against the Texans.

Start Time: Sunday, September 25, State Farm Stadium 4:25pm ET
Broadcast: FOX Sports  / NFL

Contrary to teams like the Bills and Bengals, the Chicago Bears are handcuffing their young quarterback, Justin Fields. Through two games, he has attempted only 28 passes, and completing 15 of them. That means the Bears make no secrets what they want to do and how they want to beat you. They’re going to run the ball.

Chicago runs the ball 70 percent of the time and of that, Montgomery touches it 50 percent of the time. With 148 rushing yards and 38 receiving yards, that’s 40 percent of the offense is running through Montgomery. Fields isn’t far behind with 19 carries, although some of those he was running for his life. Khalil Herbert carries it only 20 percent.

Now we get to the good part. The Texans give up a league-high 287 rushing yards to the running back. They also allow the 7th-most fantasy points to the position. This is why we are betting on Montgomery rushing OVER 69.5 yards against the Texans.