3. Kirk Cousins, QB, Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Jets

Quietly, the Jets have been one of the best defenses in the league. They are eighth in average passing yards allowed with 197.5 yards per game, are fourth in interceptions (12) and fifth with 17.8 average points allowed. The only other top defense Cousins faced this season was the Dallas Cowboys, which is the only game in which he failed to score 10.0 fantasy points. He scored less than 3.0 points actually. So we expect Cousins to score less than his 16.8 fantasy point average.