Welcome, Bruno Boys Nation to the Week 11 of the 2023 NFL Season! Along with the variety of fantasy football formats, we cover Player Prop bets. So in case you just want some quick action for the weekend, Ernie Estrella is tackling Player Prop betting during the season. He will break down a favorable matchup and select a handful of bets for five players at quarterback, running back and wide receivers / tight ends, based on how he sees the game script going.
Week 11 Quarterbacks
Patrick Mahomes will throw OVER 284.5 yards ( -114 FanDuel) and rush OVER 4.5 attempts (+116 FanDuel) against the Eagles.
Start Time: Sunday, November 12 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, 8:15pm ET
Broadcast: ABC Sports / ESPN / NFL+
It’s a rematch of the last Super Bowl and the stars are coming out for it. It’s a terrific Monday Night Matchup with very few injuries and we’ll get to see how both of these teams look nearly a year later, with both teams relatively healthy.
If you look at how the Eagles are playing this year, the one “weakness” they have is the pass. Teams like the Commanders, Cowboys, Patriots (!) and Vikings have all remained within striking distance because of the pass. The quarterbacks of those four teams not only threw over 300 yards against the Eagles, three out of the four threw nearly 400 yards against them.
Now, the Chiefs have to be a little more crazy in doing so. They don’t have the receivers that some of those teams have. Has that slowed down Mahomes? It has, since he only has three 300+ yard games through nine games. But he doesn’t have to throw over 300 yards, does he? He just needs to get to 285.
As for Mahomes’ rushing prop, the Eagles shut down the run well and they get after the quarterback. Mahomes has always been elusive though and has been sacked three times once this season. All other times, he’s been sacked 0-2 times. Mahomes does have at least five rushing attempts in the majority (five) of his games this season.